Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Don't you bore me with talk of the jet stream, and our lack of winter and 70degree temps this weekend.

Don't you bore me with talk of the jet stream, and our lack of winter and 70degree temps this weekend.
I stopped into the popular coffee shop Uncommon Grounds on Broadway in historic Saratoga Springs.
As I chatted with two regulars, the topic of the high temps., no snow winter, and the coming 70degree weekend came up.
On of us asked about the jet stream...what is it, and why should we care?
When one of us argued that climate change, the warming of world through human activity, causes the jet stream to move more to the extreme poles,,north and south...a lighbulb lit above us. (led bulb of course).

The northern jet stream has remained to the north of us all winter, preventing northern Artic and Canadian air from pushing out the warmer southern air.

So most of us can be bored with talk of jet streams and climate change.
Just bring on the good coffee.

A Santorum-Gingrich ticket? Let's get a reality check on this.

(..A senior adviser to Newt Gingrich told The Huffington Post Tuesday night the campaign likes the idea of Rick Santorum and Gingrich running on the same ticket for the presidency and vice presidency.

"Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum would make a powerful team against Barack Obama," the adviser said on the condition that his name not be used. "They have the capability to deny Gov. Romney the nomination.")
Well folks, politics ain't beanbag.

Newt stays in the race.
Because of the RNC rules on proportionality, Mitt is close to getting the majority of delegates for Tampa convention, but is short.
Leading up to Tampa, Rick and Newt get in a hotel room alone, and strike a grand bargain.
They will combine their delegates, and they will agree to form a joint ticket....with Newt as VP.
This bargain will be taken to the Tampa convention floor, and pandemonium ensues.
Mitt falls short of a majority on the first ballot, and many of his delegates move to Santorum on the second.
Rick and Newt emerge victorious at Tampa.

It will make a good HBO movie.
But let's take a reality check.
First, Newt's ego will not allow him to take VP slot.
And if he did, and the Santorum/Gingrich ticket wins in Nov., Newt as VP would make Cheney resemble a milquetoast VP.

When JFK/LBJ won in 1960, LBJ wrote a memo to POTUS-elect JFK outlining how the VP position would be the power center in the administration.
JFK never responded to the memo, and eventually marginalized LBJ.
Santorum would be faced with the same power conundrum with Newt.

Friday, March 9, 2012

Hellzapoppin. Mitt is now a country boy as the Miss. and Alabama primaries approach.

“Well I got me a fine wife I got me old fiddle
When the sun’s comin’ up I got cakes on the griddle
And life ain’t nothin’ but a funny funny riddle
Thank God I’m a country boy”
John Denver’s Thank God, I’m a country boy.
“I am learning to say y’all and I like grits, and … strange things are happening to me,” Romney joked with the crowd.”
Mitt in Mississippi yesterday.

Hellzapoppin. Mitt is now a country boy as the Miss. and Alabama primaries approach.
This man has moved so much to the right to win the GOP conservative voters that he will not be able to pivot to the center for the general election

And that seems to be Mitt’s weakness.
He is surrounded by neo-cons who whisper in his ear on when to attack Iran.
He seems to bend with the slightest political wind.

When the Texas primary approaches, he will go to Dallas and wear a Stetson and claim his great uncle died at the Alamo.
This man has class, and he appears to have a moral core, but he panders too much.

When JFK went to Dallas/Fort Worth, and was given a Stetson at the Fort Worth breakfast, he didn’t put it on and invited all the attendees to come up to the WH the following Monday and he will put it on (at least for a few seconds).
In contrast, Mitt will grab the hat. leap onto a horse, and take off for the Alamo.

Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Some random ruminations on Super Tuesday

Some random ruminations on Super Tuesday
Romney narrowly won Ohio, even though he outspent his rivals by 5 to 1; and he had the troops on the ground.
Mitt appeals to the $100K + annual income voters; but he can't close the sale on those making under $100k and with the evangelicals.
The former accurately perceive Mitt as a Wall Street, country club multi-millionaire, with several houses and with an attractive wife who drives two gas guzzling Caddies.
The evangelicals believe Mormonism is a cult; and that will not change.

Virginia is a good example of Mitt's weakness in the South.
Santorum and Gingrich were not on the ballot; and even with only Ron Paul as competition, Paul got over 40% of the vote.
The GOP Virginia voters know Paul can't get the nomination; and if through some course in miracles, he did get the nod, he would be trounced by Obama.
But the Virginia social conservatives and evangelicals still voted for Paul, as the anti-Mitt candidate.

But Mitt also won about 180 delegates yesterday, bringin his total now to close to 400 of the 1100 needed.
It is not possible for any other candidate to win the delegate majority on the first convention ballot.

And the Ohio voters ended the political career of Dennis Kuchinch, the progressive Dennis the Menace.
He was soundly defeated by Toledo-based progressive Rep. Kaptur.
Kuchinch can teach, write, give speeches and become a MSNBC analyst; and his progressive voice will remain with us.
The same GOP Ohio voters gave the Congressional nod to Joe the Plumber. OMG.
Rep. Kaptur should dispatch him back to his garage.

(..Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH) won a huge victory against fellow Dem. Rep. Dennis Kucinich in a member-versus-member primary, set up by the state’s redistricting. With nearly all precincts counted, “Kaptur led Kucinich 55 percent to 41 percent.”

And finally: That’s Joe the Congressman to you. Samuel “Joe the Plumber” Wurzelbacher won the Republican nomination for a congressional seat in Ohio last night. He’ll face off against Kaptur in November. ..")

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

"For the last decade, the international community has tried diplomacy -- it hasn't worked," Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told an audience at the American Israel Public Affairs Committee gala. "For six years the international community has applied sanctions -- that hasn't worked either. Israel has patiently waited for the international community to resolve this issue. We've waited for diplomacy to work, we've waited for sanctions to work. None of us can afford to wait much longer."
PM Netanyahu used words that leave no ambiguity.
Israel will stike Iran soon.
The DC war party, the neo-cons, the Israeli lobby, and the rightwing govt. in Israel will strike; and the Middle East will be in flames.
How will Egypt react? Will the current military junta, and the future Arab Brotherhood, keep the Camp David peace treaty in force? Not likely.
What about Turkey?
Will Hamas and Hezbollah fire their hundreds of rockets into Israel?
What about Russia and Putin? Russia does not need Iran's oil, but both nations have strong links, and agreements, on trade and investments. Putin now has been emboldened by his strong victory Sunday.
Putin has strong anti-US feelings; and he is an authoritarian.

What about China, which does have important energy ties with Iran?

And didn't Nostrodomas predict nuclear war in the Middle East?

Hang on to our hats!!!

Romney and Iran

Romney and Iran
If anyone doubts Romney’s neo-conservative foreign policy credentials, then read his op.ed. in yesterday’s Wash. Post. Linked below.

He assumes that Iran is building (a) military nuke. weapon(s), although the firm evidence is lacking on this conclusion.
He will rachet up the Iran sanctions.
And he will visit Jerusalem shortly after moving into the WH (” I will demonstrate our commitment to the world by making Jerusalem the destination of my first foreign trip. ..)
But he does not write that Jerusalem should continue to represent the three great religions in the world.

The neo-cons have attached themselves to Romney’s campaign, like active, fervent ideological barnacles on a wealthy cruise ship.
And these barnacles are “feathery little grabber things”, and they have grabbed hold of Mitt, Newt and very likely Santorum.
And barnacles feed on the “phytoplankon” of the billionaire pernicious,secret super-pacs.

The neo-cons barnacles that have attached themselves under the chairs of DC think tank offices, or the masthead of Bill Kristol’s Weekly Standard, are panting to return to power.
And Romney is their cats-paw to achieve that goal.

Monday, March 5, 2012

The White House has justt issued a pr release on the opening comments of Obama and Israeli's PM Bibi.

The White House has justt issued a pr release on the opening comments of Obama and Israeli's PM Bibi.

The public rhetoric is nice...warm an fuzzy.
But the war fever among the DC and Israeli rightwing is rising.
The Senate's 3 amigo neo-cons , McCain, Graham (Lindsey) and Lieberman just returned from Israel; and are pushing for an air attack against Iran.

The DC war party wants to push Obama into a war with Iran before the election.
And such an attack will have serious negative consequences for the world.

And don't believe Putin, and Russia, will not become directly involved.
Putin's election to another 6 yr. Presidency emboldens him.
Russia does not need Iran's oil, but their contracts, links, do deep.
And Iran is on Russia's border.
Sen. John McCain made the rounds of the Sunday morning political shows.
He has just come back from Israel, and his comments are preparatory to Obama’s meeting with Israel’s PM Bibi today.
Bibi wants to force the US to bomb Iran before the Nov. election.
And the Israeli PM will tell Obama that Israel will go alone if the US refuses to join in.

The Senate, led by McCain, Joe Liberman, and Lindsey Graham, voted on an Iran resolution last week that would be a functional declaration of war…”.. thirty-five Senators (20 R’s and 15 Dems) introduced Senate Resolution 380 “regarding the importance of preventing the government of Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons capability.”

McCain, Liberman and Graham are the 3 neo-conservative war hawk amigos.
They are the front line spokesmen for the DC war party.

Since most military analyses suggests that Israel does not have the bombs that could penatrate the Iranian underground bunkers, the US would have to do it.

The military realists also say that such an attack would delay Iran’s centrifuges spinning only temporarily. And the realists also argue that Iran would move rapidly to develop military nukes if it is attacked.

Obama said yesterday that we have Israel’s back…whatever that means.
Is that a covert signal that Israel should go ahead and attack Iran?

What would Iran do in the Middle East if it is attacked?
Wouldn’t it solidify the hardliners in Teheran?
It would help the apparent more hardliner, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Khamenei now has a super majority in the Iranian Parliament, and will move to eliminate the position of the Presidency, now held by the apparent wacko Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

The unintended consequences of an Israeli/US attack are hugh, and mainly negative.

A good read on containment of Iran’s nuclear ambiitions, rather than a new war, is in the current neo-liberal Washington Monthly: